2022年9月11日星期日

Swedish Allsvenskan - Goteborg v Helsingborg

 



 

Analysis:

[Picks] Goteborg is 4 points behind the Europa Conference League qualifying zone, a win today will close the gap down to just 1 point. Today facing a relegation-threatening visitor Helsingborg who had only managed just 1 away win all season, I expect a home win.

 

Helsingborg is 3 points behind the relegation play-off zone, and normally they are too weak away from home. Today the visitor received Asian Handicap of +0.75 which is undervalued, I guess they are looking likely to lose this match narrowly to Goteborg.

 

RECOMMENDATION:

 

The simple term I would suggest is just go for a home win.

 

For a more adventurous move, I would suggest taking EH (-1) DRAW for Goteborg to win by exact 1 goal margin.

2022年9月8日星期四

Spanish La Liga - Girona vs Real Valladolid Preview

 



Analysis:

There will be a La Liga game between two newly-promotes at Municipal de Montilivi on Friday.

 

Girona

They get 1W-1D-2L in the first four rounds, ranking twelfth at the table of the League. In the last game, they tie with Mallorca 1-1. They are weak in offence, with only one scoring goal on average of this season.

 

Real Valladolid

They get their first victory of this season in the last game from another newly-promoted, Almeria. They are weak in both offence and defence, with two scoring goals but eight conceding goals in total.

 

Verdict:

Girona are in a poor state. Real Valladolid are in high morale after their first win of this season. Additionally, Mickael Malsa of Real Valladolid has recovered now. They will play better with the help of him.

 

Pick: 2

2022年9月7日星期三

UEFA Europa League - Lazio vs Feyenoord

 



 

Analysis:

Lazio will welcome Feyenoord for their opening game of Europa League at Stadio Olimpico on Thursday.

 

Lazio

Lazio are coming from a 1-2 home loss at the hands of Napoli, which has been their second winless round since the new season. In their first five rounds this season, Lazio have picked up two wins and two draws before that lost to Napoli last outing. To be mentioned, three of their last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals.

 

Feyenoord

Feyenoord has performed well on their domestic League. After reversing Go Ahead Eagles 4-3 away from home in the last round, the team have achieved 3 consecutive victories, with scoring 9 goals totally and keeping 2 clean sheets. And they are even in away winning streak, so it will be an interesting clash.

 

Prediction:

Feyenoord came into this game with good League run and excellent scoring form. Lazio are looking forward to ending the winless record by this round, but they didn't score as many as Feyenoord. I think this game will end with more than 2.5 goals.

 

O/U Pick: Over 2.5/3 goals

 

UEFA Champions League / FC Barcelona vs FC Viktoria Plzen

 



 

Analysis:

Barcelona will face Viktoria Plzeň in Wednesday’s big Champions League clash.

 

FC Barcelona

Barcelona will be looking for another win after a 0-3 La Liga triumph versus Sevilla. A common theme in more recent Barcelona games is the high number of scores with a nil in them. Taking their previous sextet of clashes leading up to this one, in 5 of them a bet on "Both Teams to Score" would have been a losing one.

 

FC Viktoria Plzen

A succession of reliable displays from the Viktoria Plzeň defensive unit has resulted in the number of goals they’ve conceded amounting to 2 from their previous 6 fixtures overall. During the same period of time, the number of goals that they have scored themselves amounts to 9. However, time will tell if such a trend might be replicated in this next match or not.

 

Verdict:

Barca's improvement this season has been huge and they went into this game full of confidence. The 1x2 first odds is 1.10-9.50-21.00, which means support the home team. Barcelona should win this game.

 

Barcelona-2.75

2022年9月6日星期二

UEFA Champions League / RB Leipzig vs FC Shakhtar Donetsk

 



 

Analysis:

Fans of both teams await the Champions League action scheduled for Tuesday as RB Leipzig will play Shakhtar Donetsk.

 

RB Leipzig

Matches with RB Leipzig have often been lively affairs recently with plenty of scoring being the norm. Over their past half dozen clashes, a total of 23 goals have flown in for both teams combined (at an average of 3.83 goals per game) with 14 of those accredited to RB Leipzig.

 

FC Shakhtar Donetsk

A succession of reliable performances by the Shakhtar Donetsk defensive unit has resulted in their ‘goals against’ tally standing at 3 from their last 6 fixtures in total. During the same period of time, the number of goals that they have scored themselves is 11. That sort of pattern won’t necessarily be carried forward into this next game, though.

 

Verdict:

Leipzig's form is not good enough, but their strength advantage is great. The 1x2 first odds is 1.25-6.00-9.50, which means support the home team. Leipzig should win this game.

 

Home win

2022年9月4日星期日

UEFA Champions League - Celtic v Real Madrid

 



Analysis:

Group F of the Champions League with Celtic have a good chance to qualify into the knockout phase, as the Scottish champions drawn with RB Leipzig and Shakhtar Donestk, the host knowing if they can get 3 wins from this group stage may be just enough. However, Celtic had never met up with Real Madrid on the European stage, they had experienced beating Barcelona twice in their last 15 years, but not the Galatico giant!

 

Real Madrid expect to ease past the group, however, their defense had been a bit leaky at the back since the start of the new La Liga season. They had not kept a clean sheet from the last 4 straight games conceded against weaker opponents which you can see below.

 

Celtic will have their influential Japanese striker Kyogo Furuhashi missing, as he went off five minutes into the Old Firm Derby on Saturday and is not expected to feature here.

 

Real Madrid have a full strength squad pretty much, and bookies insist the opening Asian Goal Line tracking at 2.75 goals med water odds, all eyes still on high goals result.

 

Recommendation:

 

Over 2.5 goals @ 1.65 with Ladbrokes

 

Standard Goal Line - Over 2.75 goals I still expect this game should end up at least 3 goals or more!

2022年9月2日星期五

Spanish La Liga - Real Sociedad vs Atletico Madrid

 



 

Analysis:

Real Sociedad will welcome Atletico Madrid at the Reale Arena on Saturday’s La Liga.

 

Real Sociedad

At present, Real Sociedad has a record of 2 wins and 1 loss after 3 rounds, and currently ranks 8th with 6 points on table. The score/loss rate is 3/4, showing tiring offenses. Also, they suffered a 1-4 home loss to FC Barcelona last round, being in unsteady home forms.

 

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid finished thrid last season, and got a spot on the group stage of UEFA Champions League qulifiers. After beating Valencia with 1-0 on the road last round, the team have claimed 2 wins in the opeenning 3 rounds. And they have strengthen ther lineups, which will give more confidence to win.

 

Verdict:

Real Sociedad have a record of 3W-2D-5L in last 10 meetings against Atletico Madrid, inclduing losing last home h2h games with 1-2. The live draw and away win returns are lower and lower, which is good for Atletico Madrid. Atletico Madrid will be trustowrthy in this round.

 

1X2 Pick: 2

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