2025年2月4日星期二

Carabao Cup Match Analysis - Newcastle United vs Arsenal

Team Analysis

Following a strong start to the season, Newcastle has hit a rough patch, suffering defeats in their last two home games against Bournemouth and Fulham. Previously, they had enjoyed a stellar run, winning nine consecutive matches across competitions. Despite not strengthening their squad during the winter transfer window, they remain competitive but will be without injured players like Harvey Barnes, Callum Wilson, and Jamaal Lascelles for this encounter.

Arsenal, conversely, is looking to recover after being eliminated from the FA Cup and facing a loss in the first leg of this League Cup tie. The "Gunners" have shown resilience, securing five victories in their last six matches, including an impressive 5-1 win over Manchester City. However, they face injury concerns with key players such as Gabriel Jesus, Bukayo Saka, Takehiro Tomiyasu, and Ben White unavailable for selection.

Head-to-Head

Historically, Arsenal has the upper hand over Newcastle, winning 68% of their encounters. However, they have struggled against Newcastle this season, failing to score in their previous matches, including a narrow 0-1 loss at St. James' Park. In the League Cup semifinal first leg, Newcastle also triumphed with a 2-0 victory, showcasing their defensive strength and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Prediction

With both teams under pressure to perform, this match is likely to be closely contested. Newcastle's recent home struggles could provide Arsenal with opportunities to exploit, especially as they seek to overturn their deficit from the first leg. It is expected that both teams will find the back of the net, making "both teams to score" a viable option. Additionally, with Newcastle's history of scoring in the first half and Arsenal’s need to attack from the outset, a bet on hosts to score in the first half could also be worth considering. Overall, a high number of corners is anticipated, given Arsenal's attacking style, which could lead to a total corners betting option exceeding 9.5.

Head to Head Statistics


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